Hi members,
This is an interesting article I came across:
Fabian
New Evidence That Global Warming Fuels Stronger Atlantic Hurricanes
Copyright © 2009, 2010. Site created and run by Fabian Pattberg. All rights legal reserved.
The content of SustainabilityForum.com is published under a creative commons license. You are free to republish only headlines and excerpts of our news and blog articles.
This work by http://www.sustainabilityforum.com is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 2.0 UK: England & Wales License.
Based on the content at www.sustainabilityforum.com.
The content of SustainabilityForum.com is published under a creative commons license. You are free to republish only headlines and excerpts of our news and blog articles.
This work by http://www.sustainabilityforum.com is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 2.0 UK: England & Wales License.
Based on the content at www.sustainabilityforum.com.
To return to this unresolved topic, I notice that there appears to be a substantial amount of ongoing divergence in perspectives and opinions, coming from the results of research on the influence of global warming / climate change on the frequency, intensity and distribution of extreme weather events, as this sample of publications (for example) from the past 2 yr indicates:
May 2008: “Global warming has little impact in tropical storm and hurricane numbers, NOAA reports” -
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/...80519134306.htm
April 2008: “Climate change likely to intensify storms, new study confirms” -
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/...80417170213.htm
January 2008: “Increased hurricane activity linked to sea surface warming” -
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/...80130130647.htm
June 2007: “Is global warming causing an increase in hurricane activity?” -
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/...70619125716.htm
August 2006: “Establishing a connection between global warming and hurricane intensity” -
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2006/...60815160934.htm
Related:
Hurricanes Not Linked To Climate Change - Geo-Earth Forums
:computer:
* XING Profile
* Sustainable Land Use & Impact Assessment
In the light of recent activity in the Atlantic, it was inevitable that the issue of climate change and possible effects on extreme weather would arise again. Here are some recent articles on the topic…
Study: Climate change likely made storms even stronger
By ERIC BERGER – Houston Chronicle, September 04, 2008
After reanalyzing 25 years of satellite data from the North Atlantic and the other five ocean basins where tropical cyclones form, the study's authors found that the top 30 percent of each year's storms became measurably stronger between 1981 and 2006. The intensity change was equivalent to about 5 mph for the strongest storms. "I think this makes the argument much more compelling that climate change is really affecting the most rare, powerful storms by making them even stronger," said James Elsner, a hurricane scientist at Florida State University and lead author of the study published in Nature.
In recent years, especially since the record 2005 tropical season, some hurricane scientists have believed that warmer oceans were producing stronger hurricanes. But other scientists have said the record of past hurricanes couldn't be compared to that of the modern era, when storms are analyzed in minute detail from space, air and sea. Prior to the use of satellites and aircraft reconnaissance, the ability to measure sustained winds at sea was severely constrained.
Link to full article: Study: Climate change likely made storms even stronger | Chronicle | Chron.com - Houston Chronicle
Related Articles:
> New Study Reveals Hurricanes Are Getting Stronger : ChattahBox
> Is Global Warming Worsening Hurricanes? - TIME
> Climate Experts Point To Global Warming As Reason Behind Stronger Storms | AHN | September 6, 2008
> Warming brews forces to be reckoned with - 06 Sep 2008 - NZ Herald: World / International News
> Hurricanes Get Stronger Due To Global Warmth
** To keep track of the latest tropical storm/hurricane activity: http://www.sustainabilityforum.com/forum/lazy-cafe/3075-meteorology-weather-map-sites.html
:computer:
* XING Profile
* Sustainable Land Use & Impact Assessment
The 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season ended yesterday (November 30);
Some information on the severity and frequency of events for this years hurricane season ---
> Environmental Economics: Final 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Tally: 8
> 2008 Hurricane Season Results « D. Turner’s Technical Blog
> 2008 Hurricane Season, One of the Worst on Record, is Over
:computer:
* XING Profile
* Sustainable Land Use & Impact Assessment
ScienceDaily - December 28, 2008
> NASA Study Links Severe Storm Increases, Global Warming
For every degree Centigrade (1.8 degrees Fahrenheit) increase in average ocean surface temperature, the team observed a 45-percent increase in the frequency of the very high clouds. At the present rate of global warming of 0.13 degrees Celsius (0.23 degrees Fahrenheit) per decade, the team inferred the frequency of these storms can be expected to increase by six percent per decade.
Climate modelers have long speculated that the frequency and intensity of severe storms may or may not increase with global warming. Aumann said results of the study will help improve their models.
"Clouds and rain have been the weakest link in climate prediction," said Aumann. "The interaction between the daytime warming of the sea surface under clear-sky conditions and increases in the formation of low clouds, high clouds and, ultimately, rain is very complicated. The high clouds in our observations—typically at altitudes of 20 kilometers (12 miles) and higher—present the greatest difficulties for current climate models, which aren't able to resolve cloud structures smaller than about 250 kilometers (155 miles) in size."
:computer:
* XING Profile
* Sustainable Land Use & Impact Assessment